Eretz Israel is our unforgettable historic homeland...The Jews who will it shall achieve their State...And whatever we attempt there for our own benefit will redound mightily and beneficially to the good of all mankind. (Theodor Herzl, DerJudenstaat, 1896)

We offer peace and amity to all the neighbouring states and their peoples, and invite them to cooperate with the independent Jewish nation for the common good of all. The State of Israel is ready to contribute its full share to the peaceful progress and development of the Middle East.
(From Proclamation of the State of Israel, 5 Iyar 5708; 14 May 1948)

With a liberal democratic political system operating under the rule of law, a flourishing market economy producing technological innovation to the benefit of the wider world, and a population as educated and cultured as anywhere in Europe or North America, Israel is a normal Western country with a right to be treated as such in the community of nations.... For the global jihad, Israel may be the first objective. But it will not be the last. (Friends of Israel Initiative)

Wednesday 5 June 2019

David Singer: Netanyahu will be Israel’s next Prime Minister – with Trump’s help

Here's the latest article by Sydney lawyer and international affairs analyst David Singer.

He writes:

The abrupt termination of Israel’s 21st Parliament with new elections being called for 17 September has seen the New York Times claiming that Israel has been plunged into unprecedented political chaos.

A more sober assessment – based on comparing Israel’s 2015 election results with the April 2019 results – provides a different picture – in which Prime Minister Netanyahu will be returned once again as Israel’s next Prime Minister.

In an earlier article written in March, I opined:
“The cards have certainly been stacked against Benjamin Netanyahu being Israel’s next Prime Minister after three recent major developments — but he is by no means down and out.”
Those developments were:
  1. Israeli Attorney-General Avichai Mandelblit’s decision to pursue Netanyahu for alleged criminal offences.
  2. Three political parties coalescing into the Blue and White Party promising that two of the three previous leaders — former Chief of Staff Benny Gantz and Yesh Atid’s Yair Lapid — would each be Prime Minister for half of the next Government’s term of office.
  3. Netanyahu’s role in precipitating a marriage of convenience between Jewish Home, National Union and an extreme right-wing party Otzma Yehudit with alleged links to the assassinated Rabbi Meir Kahane’s banned political party Kach
I pointed out then that:
“The 2015 election results provide a useful guide as to the likely impact these three developments might have on Netanyahu’s chances:
  • the Likud Party only received 23.4% of the vote—hardly a ringing endorsement for Netanyahu and
  • 72% of those eligible voted—very high when compared to America’s 58.1%.
Likud’s low supporter-base seems unlikely to desert Netanyahu.
Voter turnout would have to increase dramatically or huge swings away from other right-wing parties would be needed to give Blue and White the nod needed to be invited by President Rivlin to form a coalition Government ahead of Netanyahu.
The unknown elephants in the room are the number of terrorist attacks and international political developments affecting Israel in the next five weeks that will concentrate voters’ minds — when actually casting their votes – on who can best safeguard their personal safety and Israel’s security.
Netanyahu is certainly not out of the race”.
Netanyahu won that race – the April 2019 election results revealing:
  1. Voter turnout went down from 72% to 68%
  2. Netanyahu’s Likud party vote went up from 23.4% to 26.46%
  3. The party forcing the fresh September elections by refusing to join a Likud-led coalition – Yisrael Beiteinu headed by Avigdor Liberman – saw its vote reduced from 214906 to 173004
These results should become more pronounced after voters evaluate the outcome of the Conference to be co-hosted by President Trump and Bahrein in Manama on 25/26 June to be attended by Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Qatar – with Egypt, Jordan and Israel (represented by Netanyahu’s caretaker Government) and other regional Arab states expected to also attend.
The US State Department has confirmed the Conference will go ahead notwithstanding Israel’s snap elections in September.
Add to this the likely possibility that before the September elections:
  • Trump could recognise Israel’s political claims to sovereignty in Judea and Samaria (West Bank) as he did in the Golan Heights prior to the April elections
  • There could be further terror attacks against Israel from Gaza and the West Bank followed by swift Netanyahu-directed responses
Trump has already pronounced his feelings on Israel’s September elections:
“Bibi got elected. Now, all of a sudden, they’re going to have to go through the process again until September? That’s ridiculous.”
Netanyahu – based on the April 2019 election results and Trump’s anticipated pro-Israel decisions – is odds-on favourite to be Israel’s next Prime Minister.

(Author’s note: The cartoon — commissioned exclusively for this article — is by Yaakov Kirschen aka “Dry Bones”- one of Israel’s foremost political and social commentators — whose cartoons have graced the columns of Israeli and international media publications for decades. His cartoons can be viewed at Drybonesblog)


  1. It may all depend on how Bibi performs over thenext six months. If he does well--he should be reelected. If he performs badly, responds weakly to Hamas or Hezbollah aggression, etc.--he will probably lose.

  2. In 1958, former director of UNRWA Ralph Galloway
    declared angrily while in Jordan:

    “The Arab states do NOT want to solve
    the [Palestinian] refugee problem.

    They want to keep it as an open sore,
    as an affront to the United Nations,
    and as a weapon against Israel.

    Arab leaders do not give a damn
    whether Arab refugees live or die.”

    SOURCE: From Time Immemorial:
    The Origins of the Arab-Jewish Conflict
    over Palestine
    (chapter 2, page 23)
    by Joan Peters, year 1984, JKAP Publications


    “Pornographic files are commonly found
    on the computers captured when terrorists
    are arrested or killed—including the
    computers captured when terrorists
    are arrested or killed—including
    computers found in the Bin Laden compound.

    Nor are animals safe:
    a sniper rifle sight using thermal imagery
    captured two Taliban fighters satisfying
    themselves with a donkey.”

    SOURCE: Al Qaeda, the Islamic State,
    and the Global Jihadist Movement:
    What Everyone Needs to Know

    (chapter 3, page 68) by Daniel Byman,
    Oxford University Press, year 2015,
    ISBN: 019021726X (paperback) ISBN: 9780190217266
    (paperback) ISBN: 0190217251 ISBN: 9780190217259


    Mr. Dennis Prager said:

    “According to Pew Research, approximately
    10 percent of world Muslims have a favorable
    opinion of the Islamic State and terror against
    civilians. That's more than 100 million people.”

    SOURCE: The World Is Getting Worse
    But This Time America Won't Save It

    by Dennis Prager, 2016 March 8,
    seen in Jewish World Review


    If you want the truth about Israel
    and the Middle East, then do not waste
    your time with the FAKE NEWS
    of The New York Times and the
    Israel-bashing mainstream-news-media.

    Instead, visit these web sites:


Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.