Eretz Israel is our unforgettable historic homeland...The Jews who will it shall achieve their State...And whatever we attempt there for our own benefit will redound mightily and beneficially to the good of all mankind. (Theodor Herzl, DerJudenstaat, 1896)

We offer peace and amity to all the neighbouring states and their peoples, and invite them to cooperate with the independent Jewish nation for the common good of all. The State of Israel is ready to contribute its full share to the peaceful progress and development of the Middle East.
(From Proclamation of the State of Israel, 5 Iyar 5708; 14 May 1948)

With a liberal democratic political system operating under the rule of law, a flourishing market economy producing technological innovation to the benefit of the wider world, and a population as educated and cultured as anywhere in Europe or North America, Israel is a normal Western country with a right to be treated as such in the community of nations.... For the global jihad, Israel may be the first objective. But it will not be the last. (Friends of Israel Initiative)

Sunday, 13 March 2016

David Singer: Palestine – Trump Must Blow His Own Trumpet With Greater Clarity

Here's the latest article by Sydney lawyer and international affairs analyst David Singer.

He writes:

One of the world's greatest negotiators  Donald Trump has walked straight into a political minefield when telling the GOP presidential debate in Miami last Thursday how he would resolve the 100 years old Jewish-Arab conflict: 
"I will tell you, I think if we’re ever going to negotiate a peace settlement … I think it would be more helpful as a negotiator, if I go in and say I’m pro-Israel, but at least have the other side know I’m somewhat neutral to them so that we can maybe get a deal done” 
How can Trump be "somewhat neutral" to the "other side"?

Who indeed does Trump consider to be "the other side"?

If the "other side" is the PLO, Trump would have to renege on the  following non-neutral positions adopted by his predecessor President Obama that any new Palestinian Arab state:
 1. Be non-militarised
 2. Recognise Israel as the Jewish State
Trump is certainly not bound by Obama's position on these contentious issues, and abandoning them would certainly be open to him.

Israel however will not forego these demands which It has consistently stipulated during the last eight years are essential pre-requisites for advancing any possible settlement of the conflict.

The only result of Trump's neutrality on Obama's position will see any peace settlement between Israel and the PLO becoming impossible to achieve.

Trump would also need to shred commitments binding America made by the last Republican President George W Bush to Israel on 14 April 2004.

These commitments were overwhelmingly endorsed by the Congress 407:9. They were given to support Israel's unilateral disengagement and total evacuation from Gaza - and included:
1. Like Obama - committing to Israel's well being as a Jewish State
2. Settling Palestinian Arab refugees in any new Palestinian Arab State rather than in Israel.
3. Israel having secure and recognized borders, which should emerge from negotiations between the parties in accordance with UNSC Resolutions 242 and 338.
4. Recognition it was unrealistic to expect that the outcome of final status negotiations would be a full and complete return to the armistice lines of 1949.
Obama tried to downplay his obligation to uphold these American commitments but still was unable to broker an Israel-PLO agreement. Any attempt by Trump to follow in Obama's footsteps would similarly fail.

More seriously however it would signal a gross betrayal by a Republican president of a former Republican president's Congress-endorsed commitments to a loyal friend and ally that would send America's reputation and integrity for honouring commitments made by it to other nations quickly sinking to rock bottom.

Rubio has already agreed to honour these Bush commitments.  Trump's stated neutrality position seems to indicate he might not.

Trump's neutrality could be construed quite differently however if the "other side" is not the PLO.

Direct negotiations between Jordan, Egypt and Israel to replace the moribund Israel-PLO negotiations could allow Trump to adopt a "somewhat neutral" stance because Israel has had signed peace agreements with Egypt since 1979 and Jordan since 1994.

Peace is far easier to accomplish with states already at peace with each other than with a hostile non-State group pledged to destroy the other party to the negotiations.

CNN and Fox's blanket coverage of the primaries over the coming weeks gives those interviewing Trump ample opportunities to get him to explain how he hopes to become "somewhat neutral" and with whom.

The interviewers may need to be "somewhat confrontational" in their questioning.

Trump needs to blow his own trumpet with greater clarity by providing more detail on how he hopes to succeed where previous presidents have embarrassingly failed.

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